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Perspectives & Research

Market
Insights

Capital perspectives, research notes, and market observations from Michie Capital and the Michie Lab team.

Macro March 2026

Oil, Rates, and the Equity Repricing No One Wants to Talk About

Powell held rates and said so clearly: no changes until there is clarity on geopolitical progress. If the conflict in the Middle East escalates, oil is the first domino — and what follows affects every asset class, with tech and housing sitting in the most exposed positions.

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Capital Structure February 2026

Joint Ventures: Structuring for Alignment, Not Just Returns

Most JV structures optimize for upside. The best ones are built to survive the downside. A framework for thinking about incentive alignment from day one — before the deal closes.

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Risk & Research January 2026

Why Rules-Based Frameworks Outperform Discretion Over Time

The evidence is clear: systematic, rules-based decision-making consistently beats human judgment in high-stakes capital allocation. The data, the reasoning, and what it means for how we build at Michie Lab.

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Real Estate March 2026

The Case for Bridge Lending in a High-Rate Environment

As conventional lenders pull back, private credit is filling the gap. We examine why asset-backed bridge structures are outperforming in the current cycle — and what operators need to know to access this capital efficiently.

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